IJGII Inernational Journal of Gastrointestinal Intervention

pISSN 2636-0004 eISSN 2636-0012
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Article

Original Article

Int J Gastrointest Interv 2024; 13(3): 86-90

Published online July 31, 2024 https://doi.org/10.18528/ijgii240018

Copyright © International Journal of Gastrointestinal Intervention.

Evaluation of risk factors, primary diagnosis, causes, and outcomes of repeat endoscopic retrograde cholangiopancreatography

Denis Jevdokimov1,2,* , Natalija Jevdokimova1,2, and Aldis Pukitis1,2

1Center of Gastroenterology, Hepatology and Nutrition, Pauls Stradins Clinical University Hospital, Riga, Latvia
2Department of Internal Diseases, Faculty of Medicine, University of Latvia, Riga, Latvia

Correspondence to:*Center of Gastroenterology, Hepatology and Nutrition, Pauls Stradins Clinical University Hospital, 13 Pilsonu Street, Riga LV-1002, Latvia.
E-mail address: denis.yevdokimov@gmail.com (D. Jevdokimov).

Received: April 17, 2024; Revised: May 28, 2024; Accepted: June 13, 2024

This is an open-access article distributed under the terms of the Creative Commons Attribution Non-Commercial License (http://creativecommons.org/licenses/bync/4.0) which permits unrestricted noncommercial use, distribution, and reproduction in any medium, provided the original work is properly cited.

Background: Endoscopic retrograde cholangiopancreatography (ERCP) is a minimally invasive endoscopic method that is used for the diagnosis and treatment of pancreaticobiliary diseases. ERCP may have to be performed two or more times, which carries a risk of complications and even death. Various risk factors influence the likelihood of ERCP recurrence.
Methods: A retrospective study was conducted at Pauls Stradins Clinical University Hospital. Fifty patients with a history of repeat ERCP were enrolled. The total ERCP count was 122. The total death rate, 30-day postprocedural mortality, laboratory markers, and primary diagnosis were analyzed, and the therapeutic interventions used during ERCP, common bile duct’s diameter, and causes of repeat ERCP were evaluated.
Results: The postprocedural 30-day mortality of repeat ERCP was 3.3%, and the overall death rate was 8%. We found a significant difference between the number of repeat ERCPs and exitus letalis (mean = 2.25 vs. mean = 1.37). The most common primary diagnosis for repeat ERCP was choledocholithiasis (64%; n = 32). We found a significant relationship between choledocholithiasis and history of cholecystectomy (P < 0.001) and obesity (P < 0.001). The rate of successful cannulation for ERCP reached 88.5%, with a significant difference between the success of cannulation and bilirubin level (205.64 ± 234.42 μmol/L vs. 58.71 ± 97.65 μmol/L, P = 0.037). The results showed a significant relationship between the success of cannulation and the presence of jaundice (P = 0.014) and periampullary diverticulum (P = 0.017).
Conclusion: A greater number of repeated ERCPs carries a higher risk of overall death outcome. The disturbances in laboratory markers (decreased hemoglobin; elevated leucocytes, bilirubin, creatinine, alkaline phosphatase, C-reactive protein) could be a risk factor for negative 30-day postprocedural outcome. The risk factors for repeating ERCP include adiposity, history of cholecystectomy, bilirubin level, jaundice, and periampullary diverticulum.

Keywords: Cholangiopancreatography, endoscopic retrograde, Choledocholithiasis, Jaundice, Mortality, Risk factors

Endoscopic retrograde cholangiopancreatography (ERCP) includes the simultaneous application of two methods: upper endoscopy and X-ray technology. During the examination, a special side-viewing upper endoscope is inserted into the duodenum, allowing instruments to be passed through the hepatopancreatic ampulla and into the biliary and pancreatic ducts. The ducts are examined by injecting a contrast agent, enabling radiographic examination and therapeutic interventions. Owing to advances in technology, this method is effective for the endoscopic therapy of gallstones, bile duct strictures, and pancreatic and liver diseases. Periodically, this manipulation is repeated for several reasons. ERCP, a complicated procedure, requires special training and experience. It can cause more serious problems than other procedures such as upper endoscopy or colonoscopy.1

The incidence of adverse events associated with ERCP has been reported to be 5%–12%, while the mortality rate is 0.1%–1.4%.2

In a systematic review of 21 studies involving 16,855 patients undergoing ERCP, the overall complication rate was 2%–7%.3

Some risk factors associated with the side effects of ERCP include difficult cannulation, precut sphincterotomy, surgically altered anatomy, periampullary diverticulum (PAD), and older age.4

In the medical literature, the most common complications of ERCP included bleeding, perforation, acute postERCP pancreatitis, and secondary infection. Acute postERCP pancreatitis can be caused by mechanical injury, contrast media injection, or guidewire manipulation through the pancreatic duct, while bleeding may occur during sphincterotomy. Moreover, perforation can occur during cannulation or therapeutic manipulation, such as bile stone extraction using a special balloon or stone retrieval basket. Infections occurring after ERCP may be due to incomplete drainage of the infected biliary system, cystic duct obstruction, collection of infected pancreatic fluid, or, in rare cases, contamination of endoscopic equipment.5,6

Currently, ERCP is mostly used for therapeutic intervention. The most common therapeutic manipulations are associated with bile duct or pancreatic duct stones, strictures (malign, benign) or stenosis, bile leaks, cytology, and biopsy. Choledocholitiasis management starts with biliary papillotomy with or without precut sphincterotomy to ease stone passage through the bile duct. Then, a special balloon or stone retrieval basket may be passed over the guidewire into the bile duct to assist in retrieving the stone. Another common treatment modality during ERCP is biliary stent placement in the bile duct because of secondary obstruction to a benign or malignant biliary stricture. Several stents are available that vary in design, material, and size; the choice of a suitable stent depends on the clinical situation.7

ERCP is an advanced complex procedure, during which events may occur that require a repeat procedure. Herein, we aimed to determine the extent to which ERCP is performed repeatedly and to investigate the primary diagnosis, possible causes of repeat ERCP, associated factors, 30-day mortality, and overall death rate.

In this retrospective study, we evaluated ERCP procedures performed in Pauls Stradins Clinical University Hospital from 2021 to February 2024. Fifty patients (28 women and 22 men) with a history of repeat ERCP were enrolled, undergoing a total of 122 ERCP procedures.

The inclusion criteria were as follows: the patient underwent ≥ 2 ERCP procedures; patients were men or women and older than 18 years.

The exclusion criteria were: patients aged < 18 years and did not undergo ≥ 2 ERCP procedures.

The results of the patient’s demographic data (sex, age, obesity, history of cholecystectomy, jaundice), 30-day postprocedural mortality, overall death rate, and laboratory markers such as hemoglobin, leucocytes, C-reactive protein, bilirubin, alkaline phosphatase, and creatinine were analyzed. We analyzed data pertaining to the primary diagnosis of the patient, therapeutic intervention used during ERCP, diameter of the common bile duct (CBD), and causes of repeat ERCP.

The data about 30-day postprocedural mortality were obtained from The Office of Citizenship and Migration Affairs of the Republic of Latvia.

All procedures were performed by the same team of endoscopists with compatible levels of ERCP experience (> 10 years).

Statistical evaluation was performed by evaluating the first ERCP procedures and records of repeat procedures.

IBM SPSS Statistics 29.0 software (IBM Corp.) was used for statistical data analysis. A P-value < 0.05 was considered significant. The statistical reliability of the research data was analyzed using the independent samples t-test, Fisher’s exact test, and Pearson’s chi-square test.

The research protocol was approved by the Ethics Committee for Clinical Research at the Development Society of Pauls Stradins Clinical University Hospital (Protocol No. 280923–6L).

Written informed consent was obtained from all participants.

The study included 50 patients: 28 women (56%) and 22 men (44%). The age of the patients was 31–90 years (mean [M] = 69, mediana [Me] = 72, mode [Mo] = 77, standard deviation [SD] = 13.3). Twenty-one patients had a history of cholecystectomy (42%), 25 were obese (50%), and 17 (34%) had PAD.

The independent samples t-test revealed no significant difference between the age of patients and PAD existence (P = 0.35).

The total number of ERCP procedures was 122. From all cases – 35% were Grade 1 (American Society for Gastrointestinal Endoscopy Grading System), 25% - Grade 2, 38% - Grade 3, and 2% - Grade 4. The number of repeat ERCPs were 1–5 (M = 1.44, Me = 1, Mo = 1, SD = 0.76).

The postprocedural 30-day mortality of repeat ERCP was 3.3%; four of 122 procedures ended with a fatal outcome within 30 days after the last ERCP. The causes of death after ERCP were: post-ERCP pancreatitis (n = 2), cholangitis leading to subsequent sepsis (n = 1) and common bile duct perforation (n = 1). The overall death rate was 8%, and a fatal outcome was found in four out of 50 patients.

The independent samples t-test revealed a significant difference between the number of repeat ERCP and exitus letalis (P = 0.025). The mean number of repeat ERCPs for patients with exitus letalis outcome was 2.25, but for those without exitus letalis outcome was 1.37.

We evaluated the laboratory markers before the first and repeat ERCP (Table 1).

Table 1 . Laboratory Markers Before Endoscopic Retrograde Cholangiopancreatography.

Laboratory markerMean valueStandard deviationMinimum valueMaximum value
Hemoglobin (g/L)1221.7578190
Leucocytes (× 109)6.700.212.315.5
Bilirubin (µmol/L)75.5011.653722
Creatinine (µmol/L)84.603.1039300
Alkaline phosphatase (IU/L)30629.24461,517
C-reactive protein (mg/dL)17.722.421150


The independent samples t-test revealed a significant difference between all laboratory markers before ERCP and the 30-day mortality outcome of the procedure (Table 2).

Table 2 . Laboratory Markers Depending on the 30-Day Post-Endoscopic Retrograde Cholangiopancreatography Mortality.

Laboratory marker30-day postprocedural mortalityMean valueStandard deviationP-value
Hemoglobin (g/L)Yes99.5014.290.018
No122.8219.15
Leucocytes (× 109)Yes8.922.150.028
No6.632.32
Bilirubin (µmol/L)Yes516.50220.310.025
No60.6394.85
Creatinine (µmol/L)Yes138.0036.570.001
No82.8632.86
Alkaline phosphatase (IU/L)Yes927.50220.530.001
No285.08304.89
C-reactive protein (mg/dL)Yes51.5032.180.010
No16.5825.93


The most common primary diagnosis of the patient cohort who underwent repeat ERCP was choledocholithiasis, at 64% (n = 32). Other primary diagnoses were: pancreatic head tumor, 20% (n = 10), papillary stenosis, 6% (n = 3), and hepatic echinococcosis, 6% (n = 3), while distal cholangiocarcinoma was a less common primary diagnosis, at 4% (n = 2).

Using Fisher’s exact test, there was a significant relationship between choledocholithiasis and a history of cholecystectomy (P < 0.001) and obesity (P < 0.001). These anamnestic data increased the risk of choledocholithiasis.

According to our data, the rate of successful cannulation for ERCP reached 88.5%. The independent samples t-test revealed a significant difference between the success of cannulation and bilirubin level (205.64 ± 234.42 µmol/L vs. 58.71 ± 97.65 µmol/L, P = 0.037). This indicates that the higher the bilirubin level, the lower the chance of cannulation of the CBD. Moreover, Pearson’s chi-square test showed a significant relationship between the presence of jaundice and success of cannulation (P = 0.014) (Fig. 1).

Figure 1. Relationship between successful cannulation of the common bile duct and the presence of jaundice.

Based of ESGE criteria, prevalence of difficult cannulation cases (5 minutes, 5 times or 2 pancreatic duct cannulation) were 20%.

Interval ERCP was applied as a salvage maneuver in all cases with initial cannulation failure.

Inadvertent pancreatic duct guidewire passage was noticed in 23% of all ERCP procedures (n = 28). Multiple cannulation (≥ 3 times) of the pancreatic duct was observed in 3.3% of procedures.

The most common invasive intervention used during the ERCP procedure was papillotomy in 96.7% of endoscopic procedures (n = 118). Precut sphincterotomy was used in 12.3% of all ERCP procedures (n = 15), while other interventions used during the ERCP procedure included extraction of bile stone/stones using balloon/basket (49.2%; n = 60), biliary stent removal (38.5%; n = 47), biliary stent implantation (51.6%; n = 63), and pancreatic stent implantation (4.1%; n = 5). During the cholangiopancreatography manipulation, the mean CBD diameter was 13.4 mm (SD = 4.52, minimum = 6, maximum = 27).

The independent samples t-test revealed a significant difference between the CBD diameter and 30-day mortality outcome (P = 0.021) (Fig. 2). PAD was found in 34.4% of all procedures (n = 42). Fisher’s exact test revealed a significant relationship between the success of cannulation and the presence of PAD (P = 0.017) (Fig. 3).

Figure 2. The CBD diameter difference depending on the 30-day post-ERCP mortality outcome. CBD, common bile duct; ERCP, endoscopic retrograde cholangiopancreatography.

Figure 3. Relationship between successful cannulation of the common bile duct and the presence of periampullary diverticulum.

The most common indication of repeat ERCP was biliary stent change (36.1% of 72 procedures (n = 26), while other causes included incomplete evacuation of bile stones (33.3%; n = 24), unsuccessful cannulation of the CBD (12.5%; n = 9), and bleeding after papillotomy (2.8%; n = 2). The least common indications for repeat ERCP were laboratory disturbance (dyscoagulation) and multiple cannulations of the pancreatic duct, each at 1.4% (n = 1).

ERCP procedure-related complications occurred in 10% of all cases (n = 12). The most common complication was postERCP pancreatitis (5.9%; n = 7), while other complications included bleeding (1.6%; n = 2), cholangitis leading to subsequent sepsis (1.6%; n = 2), and common bile duct perforation (0.9%; n = 1).

Currently, ERCP is the primary minimally invasive endoscopic procedure for the diagnosis and treatment of many pancreaticobiliary diseases. In certain cases, patients require at least two ERCP procedures.

Herein, we evaluated the risk factors, outcomes, primary diagnosis, laboratory markers, therapeutic interventions, and indications associated with repeat ERCP.

According to our data, 28 women (56%) and 22 men (44%) required repeat ERCP, with no significant sex difference. Another study showed similar results (52.8% and 47.2%).8

Choledocholitiasis was the most common primary diagnosis of patients who received at least two ERCP manipulations (64%; n = 32), which is similar to a previous study, showing that the most common indication (primary diagnosis) for ERCP was choledocholithiasis (49.17%).9

We concluded (using Fisher’s exact test) that there is a significant relationship between choledocholithiasis and a history of cholecystectomy (P < 0.001) and obesity (P < 0.001). In 2016, Kharga et al10 published research that determined the same idea about obesity: the risk of symptomatic cholelithiasis increases with every increase in body mass index. Therefore, the presence of these anamnestic data could be a risk factor for repeat ERCP, considering that the most frequent cause of recurrent ERCP in our study was choledocholithiasis.

ERCP is considered a minimally invasive endoscopic procedure with a lower risk of complications, 30-day postprocedural mortality, and overall death outcome than surgery. Our study showed 30-day postprocedural mortality and overall death outcome of repeat ERCP: 3.3% and 8%, respectively. However, two studies with a larger number of participants reported an overall mortality rate of 0.3%–1.1%.11,12 The higher mortality rates in our research may be associated with the fact that we analyzed repeat ERCP. Our study showed a significant difference between the number of repeat ERCP and exitus letalis (M = 2.25 vs. M = 1.37) (P = 0.025).

Routinely, before each endoscopic retrograde cholangiopancreatography, certain laboratory tests are performed to assess the severity of the disease and exclude contraindications. Our observations show that fatal procedures within 30 days had more pronounced disturbances in laboratory tests before ERCP. This can be considered a risk factor for negative postprocedural outcomes.

Successful cannulation of the CBD is the most important step in ERCP with rates known to vary among countries and centers (82.6%–98%).13-15 Our center’s rate of successful cannulation for ERCP reached 88.5%, which is a good indicator. In our research, we noticed several patterns. First, there was a significant difference between the success of cannulation and bilirubin level using the independent samples t-test (P = 0.037): unsuccessful cannulation, 205.64 ± 234.42 µmol/L and successful cannulation, 58.71 ± 97.65 µmol/L. A similar pattern was identified in another study (304.38 ± 126.54 µmol/L vs. 179.55 ± 114.57 µmol/L, P = 0.0009).16 We found a significant relationship between the presence of jaundice and the success of cannulation (P = 0.014). Elevated bilirubin and jaundice could be risk factors for repeat ERCP because, in 12.5% of cases, unsuccessful cannulation was the causative factor.

Second, there was a significant relationship between the presence of the PAD and the success of cannulation (P = 0.017). Sometimes this structure prevents the endoscope from adequately reaching the papilla of Vater, complicating cannulation. Therefore, PAD could be a risk factor for repeating ERCP.

According to an investigation that enrolled 3,564 patients with and without PAD, patients in the PAD group had a greater average age (65 ± 13 vs. 58 ± 16, P < 0.001).17 However, in compliance with our calculations, there was no significant difference between the age of patients and PAD existence (P = 0.35). The different numbers of patients involved in the study can explain this difference.

All data generated or analyzed during this study are included in this published article and readily available for share.

No potential conflict of interest relevant to this article was reported.

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